The Needle

There can be a blue wave, but only if you cheer hard enough

Blue 50%
Red 50%

It’s sinking. Turn on your mic and fight it.

Democrats 54 45 Republicans

*Not up in 2026. Democrats include two independents who caucus with them.

AL AK AZ CO FL GA IN KS ME MN NC ND OK PA SD TX WY MO WV IL NM AR CA IA KY MI MS MT NY OH OR TN UT VA WA WI NE SC ID NV LA

The 35 seats up in 2026, bluest to reddest in the polls